{"id":101498,"date":"2025-11-14T14:50:01","date_gmt":"2025-11-14T14:50:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.climatepolicyinitiative.org\/?post_type=cpi_publications&#038;p=101498"},"modified":"2026-05-26T07:14:43","modified_gmt":"2026-05-26T07:14:43","slug":"the-clean-energy-equity-investment-gap","status":"publish","type":"cpi_publications","link":"https:\/\/www.climatepolicyinitiative.org\/pt-br\/publication\/the-clean-energy-equity-investment-gap\/","title":{"rendered":"The Clean Energy Equity Investment Gap"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>How catalytic equity can unlock the clean energy transition where it\u2019s needed most<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meeting global climate and development goals will require a rapid scale-up of clean energy infrastructure investment in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs). However, while the magnitude of the financing gap is widely recognized, the discussion has largely focused on aggregate figures that lack guidance for practical action.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This report, prepared by Climate Policy Initiative and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gfanzero.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero<\/a>, with support from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.alliedclimate.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Allied Climate Partners<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.threecairnsgroup.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Three Cairns Group<\/a>, and analytical support from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.woodmac.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Wood Mackenzie<\/a>, highlights equity as a critical but often overlooked component of capital formation.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Equity is essential for scaling projects and companies. By committing early and taking on risk, equity investors lead transactions and create a foundation for financial leverage. This support helps businesses move through the development phase, growing the pipeline of bankable projects. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, EMDEs are likely to fall far short of the equity investment needed to reach net zero. Between 2025 and 2035, equity investment in EMDEs is expected to grow at only 5.4% annually in a Base Case scenario, reaching about USD 160 billion per year. To align with a net zero pathway, equity investment must grow at 13.1% annually\u2014more than double that rate\u2014to reach USD 375 billion each year.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>This leaves a USD 215 billion annual equity gap that must be filled to put EMDEs on track for a low-carbon transition.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<section class=\"block block-chart is-image\"><div is=\"chart\/image\" class=\"chart-image\">\n\t\t<script type=\"json\/props\">{\n    \"colors\": []\n}<\/script>\n\n\t\t\n\t\t<div element=\"tabs\"><\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"block-chart--image image--link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.climatepolicyinitiative.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2-CAPEX-and-Equity-in-EMDE-Clean-Energy-Infrastructure@2x.png\" target=\"_blank\"><div class=\"image--wrap\"><img src='https:\/\/www.climatepolicyinitiative.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2-CAPEX-and-Equity-in-EMDE-Clean-Energy-Infrastructure@2x.png' class=\"image\" alt=\"2-CAPEX-and-Equity-in-EMDE-Clean-Energy-Infrastructure@2x\" style=\"max-width:100%\" \/><\/div><\/a><!-- image html = <a class=\"block-chart--image image--link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.climatepolicyinitiative.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2-CAPEX-and-Equity-in-EMDE-Clean-Energy-Infrastructure@2x.png\" target=\"_blank\"><div class=\"image--wrap\"><img src='https:\/\/www.climatepolicyinitiative.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2-CAPEX-and-Equity-in-EMDE-Clean-Energy-Infrastructure@2x.png' class=\"image\" alt=\"2-CAPEX-and-Equity-in-EMDE-Clean-Energy-Infrastructure@2x\" style=\"max-width:100%\" \/><\/div><\/a>-->\t\t\n\t\t<div element=\"canvas\"><\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<group name=\"\">\n\t\t\t<!-- tab -->\t\t\t\n\t\t<\/group>\n\t\t\n\n\t\t\n\t\t\t<\/div><\/section>\n\n\n<p><strong>Catalytic equity\u2014equity invested on sub-market terms to mobilize additional capital\u2014offers a powerful, efficient solution.<\/strong> Early evidence suggests that one dollar of catalytic equity could unlock up to USD 30 in total project investment by reducing risk and enhancing returns for other investors. The report estimates that just USD 12\u201325 billion in catalytic equity annually by 2035 could help bridge the equity gap, if well-targeted and supported by enabling policy and institutional action.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n<section class=\"block block-chart is-image\"><div is=\"chart\/image\" class=\"chart-image\">\n\t\t<script type=\"json\/props\">{\n    \"colors\": []\n}<\/script>\n\n\t\t\n\t\t<div element=\"tabs\"><\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"block-chart--image image--link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.climatepolicyinitiative.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/6-Simplified-illustration-of-catalytic-equity-at-work@2x.png\" target=\"_blank\"><div class=\"image--wrap\"><img src='https:\/\/www.climatepolicyinitiative.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/6-Simplified-illustration-of-catalytic-equity-at-work@2x.png' class=\"image\" alt=\"6-Simplified-illustration-of-catalytic-equity-at-work@2x\" style=\"max-width:100%\" \/><\/div><\/a><!-- image html = <a class=\"block-chart--image image--link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.climatepolicyinitiative.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/6-Simplified-illustration-of-catalytic-equity-at-work@2x.png\" target=\"_blank\"><div class=\"image--wrap\"><img src='https:\/\/www.climatepolicyinitiative.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/6-Simplified-illustration-of-catalytic-equity-at-work@2x.png' class=\"image\" alt=\"6-Simplified-illustration-of-catalytic-equity-at-work@2x\" style=\"max-width:100%\" \/><\/div><\/a>-->\t\t\n\t\t<div element=\"canvas\"><\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<group name=\"\">\n\t\t\t<!-- tab -->\t\t\t\n\t\t<\/group>\n\t\t\n\n\t\t\n\t\t\t<\/div><\/section>\n\n\n<p>As official development assistance declines and public finance providers face increasing pressure to \u201cdo more with less,\u201d the report offers practical recommendations for the climate and development finance community: mobilize more equity to accelerate and scale capital deployment for climate, significantly increase the amount of catalytic equity in the system, and strengthen the knowledge base to ensure catalytic equity is well targeted.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By identifying where equity, and catalytic equity in particular, can make the most difference, this work aims to help development finance institutions, their shareholders, and philanthropies use their capital to unlock much larger volumes of private investment for climate and development on commercial terms.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Key findings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Equity is an underutilized but critical component of capital formation.\u202f&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><span class=\"TextRun SCXW18830698 BCX8\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW18830698 BCX8\">Climate and development actors have historically focused on debt financing.\u202f<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW18830698 BCX8\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:278,&quot;469777462&quot;:[720],&quot;469777927&quot;:[0],&quot;469777928&quot;:[8]}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"TextRun SCXW96590941 BCX8\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW96590941 BCX8\">Equity leads transactions by taking early risk and providing the foundation for leverage \u2013 leading to larger total investment volumes.\u202f\u202f<\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p><strong>EMDEs will likely fall far short of the equity investment needed to reach net zero.<\/strong>\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><span class=\"TextRun SCXW24484509 BCX8\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW24484509 BCX8\">Equity investment from 2025-2035 is expected to grow at a 5.4% CAGR in a Base Case scenario. To align with net zero, equity investment must rise at a 13.1% CAGR\u2014more than double the Base Case rate.\u202f<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW24484509 BCX8\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:278,&quot;469777462&quot;:[720],&quot;469777927&quot;:[0],&quot;469777928&quot;:[8]}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"TextRun SCXW227185360 BCX8\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW227185360 BCX8\">Annual equity investment in a Base Case is projected at USD160 billion. A net zero scenario requires USD 375 billion annually, revealing a USD 215 billion annual equity gap.\u202f<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW227185360 BCX8\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:278,&quot;469777462&quot;:[720],&quot;469777927&quot;:[0],&quot;469777928&quot;:[8]}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p><strong>Early evidence suggests that catalytic equity could be powerful tool to mobilize capital.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><span class=\"TextRun SCXW211782557 BCX8\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW211782557 BCX8\">Catalytic equity mobilizes external capital by reducing risk or enhancing returns for other investors.\u202f<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW211782557 BCX8\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:278,&quot;469777462&quot;:[720],&quot;469777927&quot;:[0],&quot;469777928&quot;:[8]}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"TextRun SCXW170943560 BCX8\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW170943560 BCX8\">One dollar of catalytic capital could unlock USD 4 in <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun ContextualSpellingAndGrammarErrorV2Themed SCXW170943560 BCX8\">intermediated<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW170943560 BCX8\"> equity, USD 9 at the project level, and USD 30 in total project <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SpellingErrorV2Themed SCXW170943560 BCX8\">CapEx<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW170943560 BCX8\">.\u202f<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW170943560 BCX8\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:278,&quot;469777462&quot;:[720],&quot;469777927&quot;:[0],&quot;469777928&quot;:[8]}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p><strong>The mobilization power of catalytic equity implies only modest volumes could help\u202freduce the equity gap.<\/strong>\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><span class=\"TextRun SCXW143186920 BCX8\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW143186920 BCX8\">We estimate\u202fUSD 12\u201325 billion in catalytic equity annually by 2035 could help address the USD 215 billion equity gap in EMDEs. To fully close the gap, <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW143186920 BCX8\">additional<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW143186920 BCX8\"> measures, including policy action, are <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW143186920 BCX8\">required<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW143186920 BCX8\">.\u202f<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW143186920 BCX8\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559685&quot;:1134,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:278,&quot;469777462&quot;:[1800,720,1440],&quot;469777927&quot;:[0,0,0],&quot;469777928&quot;:[0,8,8]}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong><span class=\"TextRun SCXW48019275 BCX8\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW48019275 BCX8\">Recommendations to the climate and development finance community:\u202f<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW48019275 BCX8\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Mobilize more equity to accelerate and scale capital deployment for climate.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"TextRun SCXW203872374 BCX8\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW203872374 BCX8\">Significantly <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun ContextualSpellingAndGrammarErrorV2Themed GrammarErrorHighlight SCXW203872374 BCX8\">increase<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW203872374 BCX8\"> the amount of catalytic equity in the system.\u202f<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW203872374 BCX8\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"TextRun SCXW267775386 BCX8\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW267775386 BCX8\">Develop the insights and learnings needed to ensure that catalytic equity is well targeted.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW267775386 BCX8\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:276}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p><span class=\"button\"><a href=\"https:\/\/assets.bbhub.io\/company\/sites\/63\/2025\/11\/Energy_Infrastructure_Equity_Gap_November-2025.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Download the report<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emerging markets and developing economies face a USD 215 billion annual equity gap for clean energy investment. This report highlights the critical role of equity, especially catalytic equity, in scaling projects, mobilizing private capital, and accelerating the net zero transition. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":249,"featured_media":103280,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false},"programs":[1761],"regions":[1833],"topics":[1894,1200,1199],"collaborations":[],"class_list":["post-101498","cpi_publications","type-cpi_publications","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","programs-climate-finance-tracking","regions-emerging-markets-and-developing-economies-emdes","topics-climate-finance","topics-energy-and-infrastructure","topics-finance"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Clean Energy Equity Investment Gap - CPI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.climatepolicyinitiative.org\/publication\/the-clean-energy-equity-investment-gap\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Clean Energy Equity Investment Gap - CPI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Emerging markets and developing economies face a USD 215 billion annual equity gap for clean energy investment. 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